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Transfer Risk

Transfer risks can occur when a buyer has received the goods promised and is ready to make payment. The government of the buyer’s country sees its foreign reserves rapidly leaving the country. The law or central bank institutes regulations to stop all movement of funds out of the country without specific approval. This program halts the transfer out of the country of the buyer’s currency as well as the currency of any other country. The buyer is willing and able to make the payment to the seller; however, by government intervention, the payment is blocked from taking place.

Economic Risk

Economic risks can endanger the ability of a seller to get payment for goods or services in many ways. This type of risk can sometimes be forecast but is often completely out of the control of either the buyer or seller. Purchasing transaction insurance is essential for a buyer to minimize economic risk. Elements of economic risk include but are not limited to:

• convertibility risk
• foreign exchange risk
• translation risk
• central bank activities (interest rate fluctuation, availability of funds)
• economic indicator movement (GDP, unemployment, purchasing power, inflation, etc.).

Convertibility Risk

Convertibility risk is an issue when a buyer has received the goods promised and is now ready to make payment but can’t because, for any number of possible reasons, the buyer’s government bars the conversion of its local currency to that of any other country. The reasons for this action could be a possible war, a major building infrastructure program, or a massive negative trade balance. The buyer naturally has the currency of his own country in his bank account. When the buyer goes to the bank to exchange the local currency to the currency specified in the purchase contract or to the currency of the seller’s country – or for that matter the currency of any “hard currency” country, the conversion cannot be made without proper authorization. Convertibility risks usually occur when the buyer’s currency does not have a ready world market. Although the transfer of the local currency out of the buyer’s country may not have been specifically barred, it provides little value since the seller may not be able to find a buyer for the funds.

Foreign Exchange Risk

Foreign exchange risk is not the same as either transfer risk or convertibility risk. Foreign exchange risk occurs when the rate of exchange between the seller’s currency and the buyer’s currency changes dramatically between the time the order is quoted and the time the final payment is received. When payment is not made in a cross-border transaction, the difficulty of collection can be compounded significantly, especially if the transaction is hedged.

Therefore, it is much better to assess the level of risk and know ways to mitigate, manage, transfer or accept the risks.

For example, a seller and buyer agree that the seller will be paid in the seller’s currency. The buyer has the financial strength and character at the time of the contract to be willing and able to make payment when the goods are delivered. Between the time the order is placed and the time the buyer is to make payment, however, the buyer’s currency drops significantly in value against the seller’s currency. The cost of the goods may now be more than the profit margin of the buyer, or the buyer may have to pay much more than anticipated in the buyer’s local currency. It may take the buyer much more time to obtain enough local currency to buy enough of the seller’s currency to make full payment. It may be that the buyer will never be able to make a full payment for the purchase. Hedging against foreign exchange risk is the best solution for this type of problem.
 
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