FREE online courses on Investment Decisions in Exchange Rates - Triangular
Arbitrage
Given the exchange rate between the dollar and the British
Pound, S$/£ , and the exchange rate between the dollar and the German Mark,
S$/DM , the exchange rate between the German Mark and the British Pound, SDM/£
, should be
SDM/£
= .
For example, if the exchange rate between the dollar and the
British Pound is $1.50/£1 and the exchange rate between the dollar and the
German Mark is $.75/DM1, the exchange rate between the German Mark and the
British Pound is
SDM/£
=
,
= DM2/£1 .
If the exchange rate between the German Mark and the British
Pound were either greater or less than DM2/£1, then a triangular arbitrage
opportunity will be available. For
example, suppose that the Mark/Pound exchange rate were DM2.1/£1. Then a trader with two German Marks would (1) exchange them for $1.50
(2 x $.75/DM1). The $1.5 would then
(2) be exchanged for one British Pound, which would then (3) be used to purchase
DM 2.1, which is greater than the number of German Marks that the trader started
with.